Conducted 8/17-20; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 8/24).
Subsample of 425 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8%. ^ denotes half sample. Party ID breakdown: 32%D, 28%R, 40%I/O. W/leans: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I/O.
LV party ID breakdown: 39%D, 37%R, 24%I/O.
Bush As Pres. LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23 6/25 5/21 2/19 1/19 12/15
Approve 42% 39% 8% 79% 33% 38% 41% 37% 45% 46% 50%
Disapprove 56 58 87 18 67 59 56 61 52 53 47
GOPers Strongly Approving Of Bush
Now 7/23 6/25 5/21 2/19 1/19 12/15 11/17 10/19 7/14
Strongly approve 40% 38% 36% 33% 46% 47% 45% 37% 44% 51%
Bush Handling Iraq Bush Handling Econ
LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23 LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23
Approve 38% 35% 8% 72% 32% 35% Approve 40% 37% 9% 74% 35% 36%
Disapprove 58 61 90 24 62 61 Disapprove 56 57 86 23 59 58
Generic Cong. Ballot -----7/23------
LVs All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind 6/25 5/21 2/19
Dem 40% 40% 84% 5% 28% 48% 87% 12% 39% 41% 42% 46%
GOP 40 33 2 79 15 32 4 12 48 36 36 31
Cong. Job Approval
LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23 6/25 5/21 2/19 1/19 12/15 11/17
Approve 27% 31% 22% 46% 28% 31% 30% 29% 30% 31% 26% 36%
Disapprove 66 61 70 49 53 58 62 64 61 59 64 53
Will You Vote To Re-Elect Own Member Or Vote To Replace?
--------Now-------- -----7/23------
LVs All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind
Vote to re-elect 33% 28% 30% 37% 16% 24% 20% 31% 24%
Consider others 15 17 14 14 28 27 29 26 26
Vote to replace 32 27 29 24 30 24 30 17 25
Dir. Of Your Area^ -----Now-------- -----7/23------ -----6/25------
LVs All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind
Right dir. 54% 56% 50% 64% 55% 52% 50% 60% 45% 53% 44% 66% 46%
Wrong track 34 33 38 27 35 36 42 24 42 36 44 26 36
Dir. Of US^ --------Now-------- -----7/23------ -----6/25------
LVs All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind
Right dir. 18% 22% 6% 46% 20% 25% 6% 46% 23% 30% 13% 60% 21%
Wrong track 72 65 88 33 69 60 86 35 58 60 81 29 62
Most Important Issue Facing Your Most Important Issue Facing US
Area Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Taxes 14% 11% 9% 13% 18% War in Iraq 28% 28% 38% 21% 19%
Economy 13 12 13 8 16 Support 6 7 3 11 5
Unemp/jobs 7 9 11 10 1 Oppose 22 21 35 10 14
Gas prices 5 6 6 8 5 Terrorism 14 13 9 22 10
Inflation 5 5 4 4 6 Economy 11 11 11 7 19
Crime 4 5 5 3 7 Politicians/
Terrorism 4 2 2 3 2 dissatis. 6 4 5 2 8
Drugs 3 3 4 2 4 Gas prices 6 5 4 8 4
Environment 3 3 4 2 1 Immigration 5 5 2 8 4
Immigration 3 3 3 4 2 Int'l probs 3 3 3 3 4
Unemp/jobs 3 2 4 2 --
CT SEN General Election Matchup Morals 3 2 -- 4 2
(W/Leans) LVs All Dem GOP Ind Environment 3 2 3 -- 2
Lieberman 39% 35% 30% 45% 36%
Lamont 29 24 45 7 17 Would US Be Better Off If ___
Schlesinger 9 9 2 19 6 Controlled Congress?
Other/undec 23 32 23 29 41 LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23
Dems 43% 39% 76% 8% 31% 37%
GOPers 30 28 3 70 13 30
Which Will Most Affect Your Vote For Cong.? LVs All Dem GOP Ind 7/23
Candidates' postions on nat'l issues 33% 30% 29% 32% 33% 31%
Candidates' positions on war in Iraq 15 15 19 11 15 15
Performance of incumbent member of Congress 14 11 6 15 15 9
Candidates' positions on local issues 13 17 17 16 20 19
Candidates' support of Pres. Bush 10 9 10 12 4 7
Candidates' party affiliation 6 5 9 4 4 6
Fav/Unfav --LVs-- --All-- -7/23-- -6/25-- -5/21-- -2/19--
J. McCain 59%/22% 51%/20% 50%/21% 51%/24% 56%/24% 58%/17%
H. Clinton 46 /46 47 /42 42 /49 49 /44 46 /45 52 /41
J. Lieberman 45 /30 40 /26 na na na na
Pres. Bush 40 /56 39 /55 42 /54 42 /54 37 /58 47 /49
Congress 35 /53 37 /48 38 /47 40 /48 37 /47 na
N. Lamont 14 /15 10 /14 na na na na
Which Issue Should Be Top Priority Which Issues Should Be Top Priority
For Your Member Of Congress?^ For Congress?^
LVs All Dem GOP Ind LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Immigration 17% 13% 4% 25% 11% War in Iraq 23% 21% 23% 23% 14%
War in Iraq 15 17 15 17 18 Immigration 13 11 5 19 12
Economy/jobs 14 14 19 11 9 Health care 12 12 11 10 14
Health care 10 10 16 7 4 Economy/jobs 10 11 13 7 15
Education 7 8 8 9 6 Gas prices 9 9 8 9 11
Gas prices 6 6 6 6 5 Environment 6 4 7 2 4
Soc. Sec. 6 9 6 11 9 Gov't corrupt. 6 6 4 10 4
Gov't corrupt. 5 6 5 4 13 Education 4 4 3 3 10
Environment 3 3 4 1 4 Soc. Sec. 4 5 5 6 2
How Much Interest Do You Have In Coming Election?
--------Now-------- -----7/23------ -----6/25------
LVs All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind All Dem GOP Ind
A lot 100% 55% 56% 60% 49% 53% 52% 63% 43% 55% 61% 53% 51%
Some -- 29 28 30 32 29 29 25 37 29 21 35 31
A little -- 11 11 8 14 10 12 9 10 10 10 8 10
None -- 4 3 2 4 6 5 3 9 5 6 3 6
This Year, Have You ___? LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Seen ads for local Cong. cands. 80% 76% 75% 81% 72%
Watched local Cong. candidate interviewed on TV 71 63 66 64 56
Seen debates between local Cong. candidates 41 35 37 35 36
Made contribution to a Cong. candidate 21 15 17 17 8
Attended speech/event featuring local Cong. cand. 18 12 15 13 8
Worked as a volunteer for local Cong. cand. 9 6 8 7 3
Think US Is ___ From Terror Since 9/11/01, Have Bush Admin
Compared To Before 9/11/01?^ Policies Made US Safer From Terr.?^
LVs All Dem GOP Ind LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 50% 49% 26% 74% 52% Safer 38% 46% 23% 78% 37%
Less safe 21 20 36 5 21 Less safe 36 27 42 10 25
Same 23 25 34 16 19 Same 24 25 33 10 32
If Dems Controlled Congress, Would If A Dem Was Pres., Would US Be
US Be ___ From Terrorism Than It ___ From Terrorism Than It Is
Is Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 23% 20% 40% 6% 10% Safer 29% 25% 47% 7% 11%
Less safe 29 25 9 52 14 Less safe 24 23 8 45 25
Same 38 44 40 37 64 Same 38 41 36 41 50
If John Kerry Was Pres., Would US If John McCain Was Pres., Would US
Be ___ From Terrorism Than It Is Be ___ From Terrorism Than It Is
Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 25% 22% 40% 10% 18% Safer 34% 29% 34% 25% 33%
Less safe 37 30 12 57 21 Less safe 15 14 14 17 12
Same 28 36 38 29 45 Same 40 42 35 46 43
If HRC Was Pres., Would US Be ___ If Al Gore Was Pres., Would US Be
From Terrorism Than It Is Today?^ ___ From Terrorism Than It Is
LVs All Dem GOP Ind Today?^ LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Safer 25% 24% 45% 9% 21% Safer 35% 27% 48% 3% 24%
Less safe 39 33 10 61 27 Less safe 33 33 9 64 29
Same 28 33 36 27 40 Same 23 30 30 24 38
Which Is Best Way To Protect US From Terr.? LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Implement 9/11 Commission's recommendations 53% 46% 33% 65% 50%
Withdraw troops from Iraq 22 26 41 12 24
Both 5 5 7 2 3
Think Of War In Iraq As Part Of
GWOT? LVs All Dem GOP Ind
Part of GWOT 53% 53% 34% 79% 45%
Seperate 42 40 60 17 48